According to the Cyclone Warning Division of the India Meteorological Department (IMD):

The Cyclonic Storm ‘Burevi’ over southwest Bay of Bengal moved west-northwestwards with a speed of 15 kmph during past six hoursand lay centered at 0530 hrs IST of today, the 02^nd December 2020 over southwest Bay of Bengal, about 240 km east-southeast of Trincomalee (Sri Lanka), 470 km east-southeast of Pamban (India) and 650 km nearly east-northeast of Kanniyakumari (India).

It is very likely to intensify further during next 12 hours. It is very likely to move west-northwestwards and cross Sri Lanka coast, close to north of Trincomalee during evening/night of 2^nd December as a Cyclonic Storm with a wind speed of 80-90 kmph gusting to 100 kmph. It is very likely to move nearly west-northwestwards thereafter, emerge into Gulf of Mannar and adjoining Comorin area on 3^rd December morning.

The Cyclonic Storm with wind speed of 70-80 gusting to 90 kmph would be centered very close to Pamban around noon of 3^rd December. It would then move nearly west-southwestwards and cross south Tamilnadu coast between Kanniyakumari and Pamban around early morning of 4^th December as a Cyclonic Storm with wind speed of 70-80 gusting to 90 kmph.

Forecast track and intensity are given below:

80-90 gusting to 100

02.12.20/2330

9.1/80.7

80-90 gusting to 100

03.12.20/0530

9.2/80.2

70-80 gusting to 90

03.12.20/1730

9.1/79.2

70-80 gusting to 90

04.12.20/0530

8.9/78.4

70-80 gusting to 90

04.12.20/1730

8.5/77.4

65-75 gusting to 85

05.12.20/0530

8.1/76.4

55-65 gusting to 75

Warnings:

(i) Rainfall

• Heavy to very heavy rainfall at a few places with isolated Extremely heavy falls very likely over south Tamilnadu(Kanniyakumari, Tirunelveli, Thoothukudi, Tenkasi, Ramanathapuram and Sivagangai) on 2^nd and 3^rdDecember, 2020; over south Kerala(Thiruvananthapuram, Kollam, Pathanamthitta andAlappuzah) on 3^rd December and isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall likely over south Tamilnadu on 2^nd& 4^th December 2020 and south Kerala on 3^rd& 4^th December, 2020.

• Heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated places very likely over north Tamilnadu, Puducherry, Mahe&Karaikal and north Kerala on 2^nd& 3^rd December, isolated heavy rainfall on 4^th December.

• Heavy rainfall at isolated places very likely over south Coastal Andhra Pradesh on 2^nd& 03^rdDecember and over Lakshadweep on 03^rd& 4^thDecember, 2020.

(ii) Wind warning

• Gale wind speed reaching 70-80 kmph gusting to 90 kmph prevails over southwest Bay of Bengal and along & off Sri Lanka coast. It is very likely to increase becoming 80-90 kmph gusting to 100 kmph fro afternoon for subsequent 12 hours. It will gradually decrease thereafter.
• Squally wind speed reaching 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph very likely over Comorin Area, Gulf of Mannar and along and off south Tamilnadu coast (Kanniyakumari, Tirunelveli, Thoothukudi andRamanathapuram districts) and south Kerala coast (Thiruvananthapuram, Kollam, Pathanamthitta andAlappuzah districts) from 2^nd December forenoon. It will gradually increase becoming 55-65 kmph gusting to 75 kmph from 2^nd December evening and 70-80 kmph gusting to 90 kmph from 3^rd December forenoon for subsequent 24 hours and decrease thereafter.
• Squally wind speed reaching 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph very likely over Lakshadweep-Maldives area and adjoining southeast Arabian Sea from 3^rd December morning for next 48 hours.

(iii) Sea condition

• Sea conditions is very rough to high over southwest Bay of Bengal and along & off east Sri Lanka coast and the same will continue till night of 3^rdDecember morning and gradually improve thereafter.
• It will be rough to very rough over Comorin Area, Gulf of Mannar,along & off south Tamilnadu-Kerala and west Sri Lanka coast on 2^nd and very rough to high on 3^rd and 4^th  December.
• Sea condition will be rough to very rough over Lakshadweep-Maldives area and adjoining southeast Arabian Seaduring 3^rd – 5^th December.

(iv) Fishermen warning

• Total suspension of fishing operation during 2^ndto 5^th Decemberover the areas as mentioned below.
• Fishermen are advised not to venture into southwest Bay of Bengal and along & off east Sri Lanka coast from 2^ndto 3^rdDecember; Comorin Area, Gulf of Mannar and south Tamilnadu-Kerala and west Sri Lanka coasts from 2^ndto 4^thDecember, over Lakshadweep-Maldives area & adjoining southeast Arabian Sea from 3^rdto 5^thDecember.

The system is under continuous surveillance and the concerned state governments arebeing informed regularly.

Kindly visit www.rsmcnewdelhi.imd.gov.in and www.mausam.imd.gov.in for updates on the system

Cyclonic Storm over southwest Bay of Bengal at 8.4⁰E/83.4⁰N

Storm Surge Forecast by INCOIS Model

Kindly download MAUSAM APP for location specific forecast & warning, MEGHDOOT APP for Agromet advisory and DAMINI APP for Lightning Warning.

***

NB/KGS/(IMD Release)