The Severe Cyclonic Storm ‘HUDHUD’ over westcentral Bay of Bengal moved northwestwards and intensified into a very severe cyclonic storm. It lay centered at 1130 hrs IST of 10^th October 2014 near latitude 14.8 ºN and longitude 87.0 ºE about 500 km east-southeast of Visakhapatnam and 550 km south-southeast of Gopalpur. The system would move west-northwestwards, intensify further into a very severe cyclonic storm during next 12 hours. Thereafter, it would cross north Andhra Pradesh coast around Visakhapatnam by the forenoon of 12^th October 2014.

Date/Time(IST)

Position

(Lat. 0N/ long. 0E)

Maximum sustained surface

wind speed (kmph)

Category of cyclonic 

disturbance

10-10-2014/1130

14.8/87.0

110-120 gusting to 130

Severe Cyclonic Storm

10-10-2014/1730

15.1/86.1

120-130 gusting to 145

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

10-10-2014/2330

15.4/86.1

120-130 gusting to 145

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

11-10-2014/0530

15.7/85.6

130-140 gusting to 155

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

11-10-2014/1130

16.1/85.1

130-140 gusting to 155

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

11-10-2014/2330

16.7/84.3

130-140 gusting to 155

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

12-10-2014/1130

17.6/83.0

130-140 gusting to 155

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm

12-10-2014/2330

18.3/82.3

80-90 gusting to 100

Cyclonic Storm

13-10-2014/1130

19.0/81.5

50-60 gusting to 70

Deep Depression

13-10-2014/2330

19.8/80.5

30-40 gusting to 50

Depression

Warning for north Andhra Pradesh and south Odisha

(i)              Heavy rainfall warning: Under the influence of the system, rainfall at most places with heavy (6.5 – 12.4 cm) to very heavy falls (12.5 – 24.4 cm) at a few places and isolated extremely heavy falls (≥ 24.5 cm) would occur over west and east Godavari, Visakhapatnam, Vijayanagaram and Srikakulam districts of north Andhra Pradesh and Ganjam, Gajapati, Koraput, Rayagada, Nabarangpur, Malkangiri, Kalahandi, Phulbani districts of south Odisha commencing from 11^th onwards. Rainfall would occur at most places with heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated places over Krishna, Guntur and Prakasham districts of Andhra Pradesh and north coastal Odisha during the same period.

(ii)            Wind warning: Squally wind speed reaching 50-60 kmph gusting to 70 kmph would commence along and off north Andhra Pradesh and south Odisha coasts from 11^th morning onwards. The wind speed would gradually increase to 130-140 kmph gusting to 155 kmph from 12^th morning along and off north Andhra Pradesh (East Godavari, Visakhapatnam, Vizianagaram and Srikakulam districts) and 80-90 kmph along and off adjoining districts of south Andhra Pradesh (West Godavari, Krishna districts) and south Odisha (Ganjam, Gajapati, Koraput and Malkangiri districts).

(iii)         Sea condition along and off north Andhra Pradesh and south Odisha coasts: Sea condition would be rough to very rough from 11^th morning. It would gradually become phenomenal from 12^th morning onwards along and off north Andhra Pradesh coast and very rough to high along and off south Odisha coast.

(iv)          Storm surge warning: Storm surge of about 1-2 meters above astronomical tide would inundate low lying areas of Visakhapatnam, Vijayanagaram and Srikakulam districts of north coastal Andhra Pradesh at the time of landfall.

(v)             Damage expected:

A)      North Andhra Pradesh (East Godavari, Visakhapatnam, Vizianagaram and Srikakulam districts): Under the influence of system, extensive damage to kutcha houses. Uprooting of big trees. Partial disruption of power and communication lines. Minor disruption of rail and road traffic. Potential threat from flying debris. Flooding of escape routes. Damage to agricultural crops. Damage to agricultural crops.

B)      South Andhra Pradesh (West Godavari, Krishna districts) and south Odisha coasts (Ganjam, Gajapati, Koraput and Malkangiri districts): Damage to thatched huts. Breaking of tree branches causing minor damage to power and communication lines. Uprooting of small trees.

C)       Action suggested:

A)      North Andhra Pradesh (East Godavari, Visakhapatnam, Vizianagaram and Srikakulam districts): Suspension of fishing operations in area of influence of cyclone. Judicious regulation of aviation, navigation, rail and road traffic. People in affected areas to remain at safe places around landfall period. Mobilise evacuation from coastal areas.

B)      South Andhra Pradesh (West Godavari, Krishna districts) and south Odisha coasts (Ganjam, Gajapati, Koraput and Malkangiri districts): Total suspension of fishing operations.

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ST/jk