ECONOMIC SURVEY

2008-09

·         Economic growth decelerates to 6.7 per cent in 2008-09 compared to 9 per cent in 2007-08 and 9.7 per cent in 2006-07.  

·         Per capita growth at 4.6 per cent.

·         Deceleration in growth spread across all sectors except mining and quarrying; agriculture growth falls from 4.9 per cent in 2007-08 to 1.6 per cent 2008-09.

·         Manufacturing grows at 2.4 per cent, slowdown attributed to fall in exports and a decline in domestic demand.

·         Global financial meltdown and economic recession in developed economics major factors in India’s economic slowdown.

·         Investment remains relatively buoyant, ratio of fixed investment to GDP increased to 32.2 per cent in 2008-09 compared to 31.6 per cent in 2007-08.

·         Fiscal deficit to GDP ratio stands at 6.2 per cent.

·         Credit growth declines in the later part of 2008-09 reflecting slowdown of the economy in general and the industrial sector in particular.

·         Increased plan expenditure, reduction in indirect taxes, sector specific measures for textile, housing, infrastructure through stimulus packages provides support to the real economy.

·         Merchandise export grows at a modest 3.6 per cent in US Dollar terms while overall import growth pegged at 14.4 per cent.

·         A large domestic market, resilient banking system and a policy of gradual liberalisation of capital account to help early mitigation of the adverse effect of global financial crisis and recession. 

·         Sharp dip in the growth of private consumption a major concern at this stage.

·         Medium to long-term capital flows likely to be lower as long as the de-leveraging process continues in the US economy.

·         Revisiting the agenda of pending economic reforms imperative to renew the growth momentum.

DNM/BS